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Can you see the northern lights in Alaska tonight?

Worth looking tonight. Kp is 1.00 at 11:37 AM AKDT, at or above the Kp 0 that Alaska needs for the aurora to reach its northern horizon.

Kp now

1.00

Alaska needs

Kp 0

Verdict

Overhead

Sky tonight

Partly cloudy, 68% cloud

Kp from NOAA SWPC estimated planetary K index, read at 11:37 AM AKDT. Cloud cover for Cleary Summit from the National Weather Service AFG gridded forecast.

Why Alaska needs Kp 0

The aurora follows the Earth's magnetic field rather than the equator, so what matters is geomagnetic latitude, not the number on a map. The northern edge of Alaska sits at 70.9° geomagnetic. The auroral oval reaches that far south at about Kp 0, allowing for the five degrees of extra reach you get from aurora sitting high in the atmosphere and showing low on the horizon.

Cloud is the usual reason a good Kp night comes to nothing. At Cleary Summit, in the north of the state, tonight is forecast partly cloudy at 68% cover, with the clearest hour around 10:00 PM.

The next three days

NOAA's three-hour Kp outlook. The highest expected value is Kp 4.00, which would bring the aurora into range for Alaska.

Three-day planetary Kp forecast for Alaska
DayWindowKpIn range
Aug 2000-03UT2.67Yes
Aug 2100-03UT4.00Yes
Aug 2200-03UT3.00Yes
Aug 2003-06UT2.00Yes
Aug 2103-06UT2.00Yes
Aug 2203-06UT4.00Yes
Aug 2006-09UT2.00Yes
Aug 2106-09UT1.67Yes
Aug 2206-09UT2.67Yes
Aug 2009-12UT2.00Yes
Aug 2109-12UT2.33Yes
Aug 2209-12UT2.67Yes
Aug 2012-15UT2.33Yes
Aug 2112-15UT2.33Yes
Aug 2212-15UT2.67Yes
Aug 2015-18UT2.00Yes
Aug 2115-18UT2.67Yes
Aug 2215-18UT2.00Yes
Aug 2018-21UT2.33Yes
Aug 2118-21UT2.67Yes
Aug 2218-21UT1.00Yes
Aug 2021-00UT3.67Yes
Aug 2121-00UT3.00Yes
Aug 2221-00UT2.00Yes

NOAA SWPC three-day forecast, issued 2026 Aug 20 1215 UTC.

Watching from Alaska

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