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Can you see the northern lights in Kentucky tonight?

Unlikely: Kp 1.00 at 6:44 AM EDT falls short of the Kp 7 or so that Kentucky's northern horizon requires.

as of

Kp now

1.00

Kentucky needs

Kp 7

Verdict

No chance

Sky tonight

Mostly clear, 25% cloud

Moon tonight

18% lit, waxing crescent

Nautical darkness

Darkness 7:11 PM to 6:04 AM

Kp from NOAA SWPC estimated planetary K index. The NWS PAH gridded forecast provides cloud cover for Land Between the Lakes.

At Land Between the Lakes, nautical darkness begins at 7:11 PM and holds until 6:04 AM CDT. Tonight's moon, in its waxing crescent phase, shows 18 percent lit. The sun and moon positions, computed for the date and the viewing spot, supply both numbers, and no forecast plays a part.

What is Kp?

A 0-9 scale called Kp rates the current disturbance of Earth's magnetic field. Its name comes from planetarische Kennziffer, German for planetary index. Thirteen observatories worldwide take the measurements. Higher values mean the aurora reaches further south. Most of the northern US needs a Kp of 5 or higher, while northern Alaska sees it at Kp 0. Full Kp guide.

Why Kentucky needs Kp 7

Because the aurora follows the magnetic field rather than the equator, geomagnetic latitude matters more than map latitude. At Kentucky's northern edge, the reading is 48.2° geomagnetic; the oval only draws level with that latitude at about Kp 7, and the Kp number already includes roughly 5 degrees of cushion, because the high-altitude aurora hangs low on the horizon.

Where to watch from in Kentucky

All three spots in Kentucky can differ in cloud cover, so all three are worth a look. Big Bone Lick State Park looks clearest tonight, at 24% cover.

Dark sky viewing spots in Kentucky with tonight's forecast cloud cover
SpotCloud tonightClearest hourNearest town
Land Between the Lakes25% Mostly clear12:00 AM CDTHardin
Big Bone Lick State Park24% Mostly clear2:00 AM EDTRabbit Hash
Cave Run Lake48% Partly cloudy3:00 AM EDTFarmers

Land Between the Lakes near Hardin is a Kentucky aurora spot when strong G3 storms arrive. Big Bone Lick State Park near Rabbit Hash offers another dark patch, and Cave Run Lake near Farmers gives eastern views. The state gets about 130 such days per cycle. Find a clear northern horizon.

Can the northern lights reach Lexington and Louisville tonight?

Kp each city in Kentucky needs for the northern lights, and the verdict at Kp 1.00
CityKp neededRight now
LexingtonKp 8No chance
LouisvilleKp 7No chance

Each city's Kp value comes from its own coordinates and geomagnetic latitude, so the further south a city is in the state, the higher the Kp it needs.

Cloud cover, averaged over tonight's viewing window for each location, comes from NWS gridded forecasts.

Was there aurora last night in Kentucky?

The night of October 14 topped out at Kp 2.67, short of the 7 Kentucky needs, so the aurora stayed out of range.

The most recent night in range was March 20, 2026, when the night's highest Kp reached 7.00.

3 nights so far in 2026 have been in range for Kentucky, against a yearly average of 1.6 across the complete years since 1994. The year's highest night Kp so far is 8.67, set on January 19, 2026.

Nights in range by year in Kentucky

Nights in range by year in Kentucky, 2015 to 2026
YearNights in rangeHighest KpPeak date
2026 2026 is not over38.67Jan 19, 2026
202528.67Nov 11, 2025
202449.00May 10, 2024
202327.67Apr 23, 2023
202206.00Jan 14, 2022
202117.00Nov 3, 2021
202006.00Sep 27, 2020
201905.00Jan 4, 2019
201806.00Mar 18, 2018
201718.00Sep 7, 2017
201627.00Mar 6, 2016
201528.00Mar 17, 2015

Local time 9 pm to 3 am is the span of a night. The night's Kp is the highest among the three hour windows overlapping those hours. A night is in range when that Kp reached the threshold the state needs, which comes from where the northern edge of the state sits in geomagnetic latitude. Cloud is not in the record, so in range means the aurora was in range, not that anyone saw it. Figures are NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center daily geomagnetic data from 1994 on.

The next three days

NOAA's three-hour Kp outlook. At its highest expected value, Kp 3.33 remains below the Kp 7 threshold Kentucky requires.

Three-day planetary Kp forecast for Kentucky
DayLocal windowKpIn range
Oct 148 PM to 11 PM EDT00-03UT2.67No
Oct 1411 PM to 2 AM EDT03-06UT3.33No
Oct 152 AM to 5 AM EDT06-09UT3.00No
Oct 155 AM to 8 AM EDT09-12UT2.33No
Oct 158 AM to 11 AM EDT12-15UT1.67No
Oct 1511 AM to 2 PM EDT15-18UT1.00No
Oct 152 PM to 5 PM EDT18-21UT1.33No
Oct 155 PM to 8 PM EDT21-00UT2.33No
Oct 158 PM to 11 PM EDT00-03UT2.33No
Oct 1511 PM to 2 AM EDT03-06UT2.67No
Oct 162 AM to 5 AM EDT06-09UT2.00No
Oct 165 AM to 8 AM EDT09-12UT1.67No
Oct 168 AM to 11 AM EDT12-15UT1.67No
Oct 1611 AM to 2 PM EDT15-18UT2.00No
Oct 162 PM to 5 PM EDT18-21UT2.00No
Oct 165 PM to 8 PM EDT21-00UT2.67No
Oct 168 PM to 11 PM EDT00-03UT1.67No
Oct 1611 PM to 2 AM EDT03-06UT1.67No
Oct 172 AM to 5 AM EDT06-09UT1.33No
Oct 175 AM to 8 AM EDT09-12UT1.33No
Oct 178 AM to 11 AM EDT12-15UT1.33No
Oct 1711 AM to 2 PM EDT15-18UT1.33No
Oct 172 PM to 5 PM EDT18-21UT1.33No
Oct 175 PM to 8 PM EDT21-00UT1.67No

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center three-day forecast, issued 2026 Oct 15 0030 UTC.

The next 27 days

No day in the 27 day outlook from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reaches Kp 7.

This Kp outlook is issued by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center at 2026 Oct 12 0345 UTC.

Watching from Kentucky

Compare every state, ranked right now

The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center produces the Kp readings and aurora forecasts on this page. As US government works, they are not subject to copyright under 17 U.S.C. 105; this notice is the notice required by 17 U.S.C. 403. Mention of the center does not imply endorsement or affiliation; for attribution, see Data sources and attribution.