Can you see the northern lights in Michigan tonight?
Unlikely: Kp 0.00 at 12:05 AM EDT falls short of the Kp 3 or so that Michigan's northern horizon requires.
as of
Kp now
0.00
Michigan needs
Kp 3
Verdict
Unlikely
Sky tonight
Mostly cloudy, 71% cloud
Moon tonight
15% lit, waxing crescent
Nautical darkness
Darkness 8:09 PM to 7:05 AM
Kp from NOAA SWPC estimated planetary K index. The NWS MQT gridded forecast provides cloud cover for Copper Harbor, Keweenaw.
At Copper Harbor, Keweenaw, nautical darkness begins at 8:09 PM and holds until 7:05 AM EDT. Tonight's moon, in its waxing crescent phase, shows 15 percent lit. The sun and moon positions, computed for the date and the viewing spot, supply both numbers, and no forecast plays a part.
What is Kp?
A 0-9 scale called Kp rates the current disturbance of Earth's magnetic field. Its name comes from planetarische Kennziffer, German for planetary index. Thirteen observatories worldwide take the measurements. Higher values mean the aurora reaches further south. Most of the northern US needs a Kp of 5 or higher, while northern Alaska sees it at Kp 0. Full Kp guide.
Why Michigan needs Kp 3
Because the aurora follows the magnetic field rather than the equator, geomagnetic latitude matters more than map latitude. At Michigan's northern edge, the reading is 56.5° geomagnetic; the oval only draws level with that latitude at about Kp 3, and the Kp number already includes roughly 5 degrees of cushion, because the high-altitude aurora hangs low on the horizon.
Where to watch from in Michigan
All three spots in Michigan can differ in cloud cover, so all three are worth a look. Whitefish Point looks clearest tonight, at 66% cover.
| Spot | Cloud tonight | Clearest hour | Nearest town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Copper Harbor, Keweenaw | 71% Mostly cloudy | 1:00 AM EDT | Copper Harbor |
| Whitefish Point | 66% Partly cloudy | 3:00 AM EDT | Brimley |
| Headlands Dark Sky Park, Mackinaw City | 68% Partly cloudy | 1:00 AM EDT | Mackinaw City |
Michigan's Upper Peninsula sees aurora on many nights, with Copper Harbor at the tip of the Keweenaw. Whitefish Point near Brimley is another northern site, and Headlands Dark Sky Park near Mackinaw City is a designated dark area. The dark-night season runs October to March. Equinox months are the most active.
Can the northern lights reach Detroit, Grand Rapids, Marquette and Sault Ste Marie tonight?
| City | Kp needed | Right now |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit | Kp 5 | No chance |
| Grand Rapids | Kp 5 | No chance |
| Marquette | Kp 3 | No chance |
| Sault Ste Marie | Kp 3 | Unlikely |
Each city's Kp value comes from its own coordinates and geomagnetic latitude, so the further south a city is in the state, the higher the Kp it needs.
Cloud cover, averaged over tonight's viewing window for each location, comes from NWS gridded forecasts.
Was there aurora last night in Michigan?
The night of October 14 topped out at Kp 2.67, short of the 3 Michigan needs, so the aurora stayed out of range.
The most recent night in range was October 12, 2026, when the night's highest Kp reached 3.33.
122 nights so far in 2026 have been in range for Michigan, against a yearly average of 156.9 across the complete years since 1994. The year's highest night Kp so far is 8.67, set on January 19, 2026.
Nights in range by year in Michigan
| Year | Nights in range | Highest Kp | Peak date |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 2026 is not over | 122 | 8.67 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| 2025 | 217 | 8.67 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| 2024 | 142 | 9.00 | May 10, 2024 |
| 2023 | 143 | 7.67 | Apr 23, 2023 |
| 2022 | 191 | 6.00 | Jan 14, 2022 |
| 2021 | 131 | 7.00 | Nov 3, 2021 |
| 2020 | 94 | 6.00 | Sep 27, 2020 |
| 2019 | 109 | 5.00 | Jan 4, 2019 |
| 2018 | 115 | 6.00 | Mar 18, 2018 |
| 2017 | 179 | 8.00 | Sep 7, 2017 |
| 2016 | 192 | 7.00 | Mar 6, 2016 |
| 2015 | 202 | 8.00 | Mar 17, 2015 |
Local time 9 pm to 3 am is the span of a night. The night's Kp is the highest among the three hour windows overlapping those hours. A night is in range when that Kp reached the threshold the state needs, which comes from where the northern edge of the state sits in geomagnetic latitude. Cloud is not in the record, so in range means the aurora was in range, not that anyone saw it. Figures are NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center daily geomagnetic data from 1994 on.
The next three days
NOAA's three-hour Kp outlook. At the highest expected value of Kp 3.33, the aurora would come into range for Michigan.
| Day | Local window | Kp | In range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | 8 PM to 11 PM EDT00-03UT | 2.67 | No |
| Oct 14 | 11 PM to 2 AM EDT03-06UT | 3.33 | Yes |
| Oct 15 | 2 AM to 5 AM EDT06-09UT | 3.00 | Yes |
| Oct 15 | 5 AM to 8 AM EDT09-12UT | 2.33 | No |
| Oct 15 | 8 AM to 11 AM EDT12-15UT | 1.67 | No |
| Oct 15 | 11 AM to 2 PM EDT15-18UT | 1.00 | No |
| Oct 15 | 2 PM to 5 PM EDT18-21UT | 1.33 | No |
| Oct 15 | 5 PM to 8 PM EDT21-00UT | 2.33 | No |
| Oct 15 | 8 PM to 11 PM EDT00-03UT | 2.33 | No |
| Oct 15 | 11 PM to 2 AM EDT03-06UT | 2.67 | No |
| Oct 16 | 2 AM to 5 AM EDT06-09UT | 2.00 | No |
| Oct 16 | 5 AM to 8 AM EDT09-12UT | 1.67 | No |
| Oct 16 | 8 AM to 11 AM EDT12-15UT | 1.67 | No |
| Oct 16 | 11 AM to 2 PM EDT15-18UT | 2.00 | No |
| Oct 16 | 2 PM to 5 PM EDT18-21UT | 2.00 | No |
| Oct 16 | 5 PM to 8 PM EDT21-00UT | 2.67 | No |
| Oct 16 | 8 PM to 11 PM EDT00-03UT | 1.67 | No |
| Oct 16 | 11 PM to 2 AM EDT03-06UT | 1.67 | No |
| Oct 17 | 2 AM to 5 AM EDT06-09UT | 1.33 | No |
| Oct 17 | 5 AM to 8 AM EDT09-12UT | 1.33 | No |
| Oct 17 | 8 AM to 11 AM EDT12-15UT | 1.33 | No |
| Oct 17 | 11 AM to 2 PM EDT15-18UT | 1.33 | No |
| Oct 17 | 2 PM to 5 PM EDT18-21UT | 1.33 | No |
| Oct 17 | 5 PM to 8 PM EDT21-00UT | 1.67 | No |
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center three-day forecast, issued 2026 Oct 15 0030 UTC.
The next 27 days
The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center outlook puts 13 of the next 27 days at or above Kp 3.
This Kp outlook is issued by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center at 2026 Oct 12 0345 UTC.
Watching from Michigan
- The aurora seldom appears overhead in Michigan; look at the northern horizon instead.
- Away from town lights, allow 20 minutes for your eyes to adjust.
- The aurora is most active from 10pm to 2am local, near magnetic midnight.
- A phone exposure of 3-5 seconds picks up color the eye cannot; a grey glow can photograph green.
Compare every state, ranked right now
The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center produces the Kp readings and aurora forecasts on this page. As US government works, they are not subject to copyright under 17 U.S.C. 105; this notice is the notice required by 17 U.S.C. 403. Mention of the center does not imply endorsement or affiliation; for attribution, see Data sources and attribution.