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Can you see the northern lights in Pennsylvania tonight?

Unlikely tonight. Kp is 1.00 at 3:37 PM EDT, and Pennsylvania needs about Kp 5 before the aurora reaches its northern horizon.

Kp now

1.00

Pennsylvania needs

Kp 5

Verdict

No chance

Sky tonight

Mostly clear, 24% cloud

Kp from NOAA SWPC estimated planetary K index, read at 3:37 PM EDT. Cloud cover for Cherry Springs State Park from the National Weather Service CTP gridded forecast.

Why Pennsylvania needs Kp 5

The aurora follows the Earth's magnetic field rather than the equator, so what matters is geomagnetic latitude, not the number on a map. The northern edge of Pennsylvania sits at 51.5° geomagnetic. The auroral oval reaches that far south at about Kp 5, allowing for the five degrees of extra reach you get from aurora sitting high in the atmosphere and showing low on the horizon.

Cloud is the usual reason a good Kp night comes to nothing. At Cherry Springs State Park, in the north of the state, tonight is forecast mostly clear at 24% cover, with the clearest hour around 12:00 AM.

The next three days

NOAA's three-hour Kp outlook. The highest expected value is Kp 4.00, which stays below the Kp 5 Pennsylvania needs.

Three-day planetary Kp forecast for Pennsylvania
DayWindowKpIn range
Aug 2000-03UT2.67No
Aug 2100-03UT4.00No
Aug 2200-03UT3.00No
Aug 2003-06UT2.00No
Aug 2103-06UT2.00No
Aug 2203-06UT4.00No
Aug 2006-09UT2.00No
Aug 2106-09UT1.67No
Aug 2206-09UT2.67No
Aug 2009-12UT2.00No
Aug 2109-12UT2.33No
Aug 2209-12UT2.67No
Aug 2012-15UT2.33No
Aug 2112-15UT2.33No
Aug 2212-15UT2.67No
Aug 2015-18UT2.00No
Aug 2115-18UT2.67No
Aug 2215-18UT2.00No
Aug 2018-21UT2.33No
Aug 2118-21UT2.67No
Aug 2218-21UT1.00No
Aug 2021-00UT3.67No
Aug 2121-00UT3.00No
Aug 2221-00UT2.00No

NOAA SWPC three-day forecast, issued 2026 Aug 20 1215 UTC.

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